Sports
A separate paper sports-betting book — daily plays and the multi-source confluence board. Not connected to the trading accounts.
Each team's chance to win it all — Polymarket money, sportsbook odds, and our model, side by side. When they agree, the number is more trustworthy.
NBA Champion
| Team | Polymarket | Books | Model | Agreement |
|---|
World Cup
| Team | Polymarket | Books | Model | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe (UEFA) | 74% | — | — | strong |
| France | 33% | — | — | strong |
| South America (CONMEBOL) | 21% | — | — | strong |
| Argentina | 17% | — | — | strong |
| England | 14% | — | — | strong |
| Spain | 13% | — | — | strong |
| Portugal | 6% | — | — | strong |
| Norway | 5% | — | — | strong |
| Colombia | 3% | — | — | strong |
| USA | 3% | — | — | strong |
| North America (CONCACAF) | 3% | — | — | strong |
| Africa (CAF) | 3% | — | — | strong |